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Business monthly July 03
 
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REPORTS
Mystery radio stations capture audiences Jojoba: the holy grail of desert shrubs
Farmers wary of cotton, turn to pricier crops Forced conversions hit hotels, tour operators
Baghdadis enjoy freer trade, but long for security Date palms under-marketed, say local growers
Cairo draws one step closer to an FTA with the United States Egypt between US, EU in genetically modified crops debate
In int’l deal, Cadbury picks up local bubble gum concern Region notes

jojoba: the holy grail of desert shrubs

with the decline in profitability of “white gold,” some agriculturalists have turned to an entirely new crop: jojoba (or, somewhat unimaginatively, “green gold”), hailed by its producers as the miracle crop of egypt’s future.

jojoba is a low evergreen plant indigenous to the americas. a resilient shrub, it thrives in hot, arid climates, and requires very little in terms of water or maintenance. in the last 15 years, it was discovered that the small desert bush is ideally suited to egypt’s climate and soil. and more importantly, the plant’s seeds and extracts yield a seemingly endless array of products and applications.

processing jojoba seeds yields a sap that is 60 percent pure oil – chemically classified as a liquid wax – that can be used towards a variety of industrial and pharmaceutical ends. for example, jojoba oil is used to make ointments, inks, varnishes, waxes, detergents, pharmaceuticals, resins and plastics; it can be employed as an additive in motor, transmission and gear oils; and it’s a good substitute for the oil of the sperm whale – which is used in cosmetics as well as automatic-transmission lubricants.
according to one of the many websites dedicated to the myriad uses of jojoba oil, it is also “a natural mimic” of the oil secreted by human skin, so its application reportedly protects the skin and slows the ageing process. it was even recently reported that researchers at helwan university in cairo and the united arab emirates university have been testing jojoba oil as a substitute for diesel fuel, with promising results (the patent, however, appears to have already been snapped up by an american company).

dr. nabil s. el mouguy is egypt’s authority on fertilization, irrigation and oil extraction methods for jojoba. he is also the sole national supplier of jojoba seedlings. his jojoba farm, about 100 kilometers outside of cairo, is egypt’s pilot project for the crop.

according to el mouguy, egypt produces about 10 tons of jojoba oil annually – enough to satisfy the few companies that manufacture pharmaceutical products with the oil. but none of el mouguy’s production is exported, although the world market demand for jojoba oil is about 200,000 tons (and that, el mouguy pointed out, was “without knowledge of some of the new applications”). total world production, meanwhile, is only about 10,000 tons.

on the international market, jojoba oil sells for $10-20 per pound, depending on the quality. oil that is labeled and packaged can sell for much more: a bottle of 100 cubic centimeters usually retails for about $6. the main world buyers are germany and japan.

the cultivation of jojoba, however, is no easy matter. it takes time and investment, but can yield exponentially increasing returns. the plants don’t start producing seeds until their fourth year. until then, they need about 50-70 liters of water in the summer and 10-30 liters in winter. by the fourth year, though, one acre will produce 250 to 350 kilograms of seed. profits start coming by around the eighth year, as mature plants (which at this point can survive a year without being watered) will produce 800 to 1,200 kilograms of seed per acre. thus, according to el mouguy, the average investment in jojoba farming is about £e 30,000 per hectare (not counting the cost of water and land) and the average return is about $12,000.

while most of egypt’s jojoba cultivation is currently is assiut (where it is overseen by the assiut governorate, the ministry of defense and private businessmen), el mouguy explained that jojoba could be planted anywhere “from alexandria to aswan.” the only place it wouldn’t thrive would be the delta, he said, because the plant requires well-drained, yellow soil, which the delta doesn’t have.

el mouguy maintained that jojoba is a much more profitable crop than either tobacco or cotton, yielding a much higher return per cubic meter of water. in fact, el mouguy predicted, “there will be a boom” of jojoba cultivation in egypt’s near future. and if all phases of production – from oil extraction to packaging – are done locally, the desert shrub could be an extremely lucrative development for egypt’s agriculture sector.

the pasha’s ban reconsidered

egypt’s sole tobacco manufacturer and distributor eastern company is working to persuade the government to allow tobacco farming on egyptian soil, a practice outlawed more than a century ago.

according to abdou haddad abdou, an eastern company investor relations official, 19th-century egyptian ruler mohamed ali pasha – himself a tobacconist – banned farmers from growing tobacco in egypt so he could monopolize the market. mohamed ali purportedly generated lucrative revenues through tax and customs duties on imported tobacco, and successive egyptian governments have maintained the ban – apparently for the same reason. last year alone, the government – which has a 66-percent stake in eastern – reeled in £e 3.5 billion from import duties on tobacco.

but with an uncompetitive currency and little leeway to increase cigarette prices, the tobacco giant is looking for ways to cut costs. eastern spends around $125 million each year importing 50,000 tons of tobacco of varying flavors and qualities from africa, south east asia, india, malaysia, indonesia, latin america and, most recently, bulgaria.

abdou said that producing one-third of this tobacco locally – perhaps in the toshka valley – would reduce production costs, generate more revenue and help expand exports, which currently account for only 4 percent of annual company profits. eastern already imports one-third of its tobacco duty-free from african countries in the comesa zone.

but the government has resisted the proposal, arguing that there isn’t enough agricultural land to spare. eastern, however, is confident that state officials will be brought around by the potential savings in hard currency and the chance for thousands of new job opportunities.

in recent years, eastern has been “on the verge of making losses,” abdou said, due to price hikes on imported tobacco and packaging. at the same time, cigarette retail prices remain low, with economy class cleopatras ranging in price from £e 1 to £e 2.25 per pack. the government, which sees cigarettes as a strategic commodity like petroleum or bread, froze prices in 1990, permitting only an £e 0.10 increase in price in 1998. last year, a presidential decree established new cigarette tax brackets that allowed eastern to raise prices between £e 0.15 and £e 0.50 per box. but since january’s currency devaluation, the company has been feeling the pinch again.

still, eastern shouldn’t be too worried. its stock is one of the most robust on the bourse, and, despite the prohibition of tobacco advertising and new warning labels on cigarette packs, consumption of eastern-brand cigarettes and shisha tobacco has increased 9 percent annually over the last five years (compared to 2-percent population growth). more egyptians – including record numbers of young women – are turning to cigarettes and shisha pipes as a way to “let out their stress,” according to abdou.

meanwhile, the market share of foreign cigarettes – like philip morris’ marlboros or british-american tobacco’s dunhills, also manufactured by eastern – has decreased from 15 percent two years ago to less than 8 percent today, due to massive price hikes on foreign brands. a box of marlboros now costs £e 6.50, £e 3 more than the premium eastern matinee brand.

new players are still entering the scene, though. eastern signed an agreement in june with jordan’s international tobacco & cigarettes company to market its brands in egypt – the first arab competition in the local cigarette market.

still, 83-year-old eastern looks warily to the future, as the government bends to growing international pressure to combat smoking. in may, 192 countries unanimously approved a world health organization anti-smoking treaty. to decrease its dependence on tobacco profits, eastern is dabbling in other areas of investment, including import-export, real estate, textiles, agriculture, food and pharmaceuticals. “we are working to be ready for the day that smoking is banned,” abdou said.

 

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