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in person
privatizing the cabinet
who says you cant run government as a business? minister
of foreign trade and investment rachid mohamed rachid is bringing
three decades of private sector experience to his post, taking on
the twin challenge of modernizing industry and expanding foreign
trade. hes not advocating simply a change in policy, he wants
to change the thinking.
by cam mcgrath
by his own admission, rachid mohamed rachid was an unusual choice
for the job. by tapping the prominent alexandrian businessman for
the newly merged foreign trade and industry portfolios last july,
the nazif government was sending a clear message that it wanted
a new model of thinking for its economic policies.
the former chairman of unilever egypt feels business was traditionally
under-represented in the cabinet. the influx of fresh blood is helping
to give the government more clarity of direction vis-à-vis
the private sector. after all, he points out, the business mindset
is not something one simply abandons upon taking office. you
dont leave your background. the way you deal with issues,
team building and building a consensus... is very much influenced
by your business background.
the minister confidently asserts that its time to outsource
some of the roles traditionally filled by the public sector. basically,
what were doing now as a government is withdrawing from certain
areas, he says. we want the business community to take
the lead in setting the agenda of economic development, industrial
organization and export promotion. his ministry, meanwhile,
will focus instead on the legislative framework, bilateral trade
agreements and customs reforms that allow the private sector to
operate.
just eight months since taking office, rachid has left his mark
enforcing international industrial standards, lowering protective
trade barriers that discourage competition and securing a new agreement
that gives select egyptian goods unprecedented access to us markets.
the onus is now on the business community, which rachid sees as
a vital component to egypts industrial growth and economic
development. we can only create the environment, help get
the tools and encourage [private enterprise], but somebody has to
take the lead, he says, adding that local business organizations
will play a central role in the changes ahead.
while egypts past year has been characterized by change,
last novembers us presidential elections may usher in more
of the same. egyptians are now waiting to see what george w. bush
has in store for the region in his second term. the biggest
question mark in the minds of the people in egypt when it comes
to the us administration is not really related to egypt, says
rachid. it is more related to what will happen in iraq and
the palestinian-israeli situation.
people are more concerned with issues beyond their borders, he
argues, because they are confident in egypts historic ties
with the us. were talking about a strategic relationship
[that goes] back 25-30 years. i dont think people are thinking
there is really any sense of threat or lack of commitment from either
side to continue this relationship.
nor have post-9/11 realities dampened egypts resolve to
maintain strong economic ties with the us. europe is on egypts
doorstep and the asian market is experiencing exponential growth,
but trade policy remains firmly geared towards the american market.
at the end of the day, were talking about the biggest
market in the world, which is the us, says rachid. so
its very important that we have a strong and forward-looking
relationship with the us both trade-wise and investment-wise.
a strong egyptian pound, however, could put the brakes on exports.
the us dollar has fallen 8 percent against the pound since december,
making products manufactured in egypt more expensive for american
consumers. it might also tempt local exporters to look to other
markets. the change in the value of the currency might make
other markets more attractive for the short term, he admits,
but exporters need to see the bigger picture. nobody looks
at the dollar as a value. the value is more the attraction of the
american market, which i think will continue to push up those numbers
in the coming few months.
pop qiz
a big push could come from egypts new qualifying industrial
zone (qiz) agreement. signed last december, the six-article agreement
gives egyptian products duty- and quota-free access to the us market
provided they contain a minimum 11.7 percent israeli content. rumors
of clandestine meetings between government cabalists have proven
far more intriguing to the masses than rachids version of
the story.
there are no secrets, he insists. the clinton administration
offered the qiz model to egypt in 1996, but the egyptian business
community showed no interest at the time. unless the business
community was interested and willing to be part of the arrangement
there was no reason for the government to start engaging itself.
in the mid-1990s, the business community was not interested. now
[it is].
according to rachid, the initiation to launch qiz negotiations
came from the local business sector nearly two years ago after industrialists
realized egypts textile sector, which accounts for 11 percent
of manufacturing gdp and employs approximately one million workers,
was facing a critical deadline. the multi-fiber agreement (mfa),
which imposed quotas on textile exports that served to protect egypts
share of the us market, was due to expire on january 1, 2005, opening
the floodgates of cheaper asian products. following the success
of jordan, which saw its textile industry jump from a paltry $26
million before signing the qiz agreement in 1998 to some $1 billion
seven years later, local factory owners decided they wanted in.
rachid admits the negotiations were tough. after all, jordan was
initially granted just one qiz. egypt was seeking 10. but patience,
alexandrian tenacity and three decades of business savvy helped
rachid seal the deal. the us granted egypt an initial seven qizs
in three geographic districts: cairo, alexandria and port said.
reaction to the trilateral agreement has been mixed. some praised
it, others condemned it. opposition newspapers accused the government
of bypassing due parliamentary procedure to prevent detractors from
blocking it, an allegation rachid flatly denies. i was in
parliament for over three hours and i stood there with different
parties members of the opposition and independent parties,
and the national democratic party, he says. at the end
of the session, there was a clear acceptance by the majority of
the parliament.
in any case, rachid maintains, the qiz agreement did not require
parliamentary approval because company participation is optional
and the egyptian side does not have to give up anything to reap
its benefits. nowhere in this arrangement is there any sort
of obligation on the egyptian part, he stresses.
egypts peace treaty with israel, signed in 1979, provides
an outline for economic cooperation between the two countries. despite
this, bilateral trade barely exceeded $42 million in 2003. israels
policies in the region particularly since the outbreak of
the palestinian intifada in september 2000 have made dealings
with the israeli government extremely unpopular with the egyptian
masses.
regardless of the popular sentiment, rachid says the government
can neither stop people from importing from israel, nor hide the
origin of these products. there is no law in egypt that forbids
importing products from israel and there is nothing in egypt that
would stop somebody from asking me to give him a certificate-of-origin
proving that a product is of israeli origin.
thats just the type of statement that infuriates the egyptian
public, but rachid says people need to see the bigger picture. i
understand the emotion of the people, but from a commercial trade
point of view, i think our agreement... is bringing stability and
benefits to the region, says rachid. the [point of the
qiz agreement] was to get the business community the best trade
agreement i could. this is not about religion; this is about what
i could get for egypt.
somewhat unexpectedly, many egyptians see the logic in the ministers
words. some have publicly complained at times even taking
to the streets because their factories were not included
in the qiz agreement. rachid says a concerted effort is now under
way to expand the agreement, as was done in jordan, which now has
13 qizs. we have the right to apply for new zones and were
hoping new zones will be added in the next phase of the process,
he says.
eyes on the prize
the qiz option might never have been exercised if the us had granted
egypt a free trade agreement (fta). hopes for an fta evaporated
in mid-2003 shortly after coincidentally or not egypt
refused to back the us in its wto suit against the eu ban on genetically
modified foods. pundits have accused outgoing us trade representative
(ustr) robert zoellick of holding a grudge over the snubbing.
im sure there was nothing personal, asserts
rachid. it was more really the position of the us and egypt
vis-à-vis an fta discussion. we were both not ready to get
into that discussion. i think that has changed completely for both
sides.
yet not everybody is convinced the time is right. a report issued
last november by the us house of representatives ways &
means committee said egypt was far from ready. it cited a number
of obstacles, including what it deemed as inadequate protection
of intellectual property and import barriers on frozen chicken.
frozen chicken a stumbling block to an fta? rachid writes it off
as an example of the power that lobby groups wield. there
are people interested in exporting and they are, of course, bringing
their case to members of us congress [as is the case] here in egypt.
this is the nature of the game.
the minister argues that the congressional report is somewhat misleading
in that it reflects the situation in egypt before the july 2004
cabinet shuffle. some of the problems have been resolved,
some are on the way to being resolved and some will not be resolved,
he says. the reforms we made to customs, taxes, banking and
privatization
all those things we not just talked about but
actually implemented in the first few months [of the new government]
went beyond what was put as prerequisites for [fta] negotiations.
in hindsight, rachid is convinced that the qiz was the right decision.
even if the us grants egypt an fta tomorrow, it will not take effect
overnight. ftas are gradually phased in over a period of up to 10
years. egypt needed a working model in the interim, he says. the
qiz will give egyptian industries a competitive advantage until
we get the full benefit of an fta. but, in the very long term, we
dont need both agreements.
size matters
rachid is unapologetic about his support for big business. its
a philosophy that goes against the grain, as western economists
say small- and medium-sized enterprises (smes) which require
less start-up capital and are more adaptable than giant corporations
are the key to economic growth. people have said that
smes are good and big companies are bad. thats not true. big
companies are also extremely important for economic development,
he says.
after all, only industry giants are capable of the economies-of-scale
that egyptian products need to be globally competitive. i
want to make sure that the big companies are labeled as good companies
and we should support them. we need them. theyll be the ones
carrying the flag. they are the ibms, the boeings and the microsofts
that you need for egypt.
but size is relative. rachid points out that egypts handful
of big companies, with annual turnover exceeding $100
million, are considered small companies by us standards.
in this age of global integration, the two are now battling for
the same markets. i need some strong and big companies to
compete.
thats not to say hes giving up on smes. support is
needed across the spectrum, he argues, emphasizing that smes
are going to be the big companies of tomorrow. but making
these companies competitive will require solving the same problems
that afflict big companies, namely inadequate marketing, low production
capacity and product quality issues.
the specification of products is a big issue, says
rachid. almost 80 percent of all problems [revolve around]
specification standards. the ministrys strategy is to
align egyptian standards with international ones so that products
can have open access to global markets. but adopting world standards
should not be limited to manufactured goods, he says, they should
be applied to inspection procedures, customs policies and ipr issues.
looking to the future, rachid sees room to grow. his ministry
is laying the groundwork for egyptian industry to become more competitive
in both the domestic and international markets. but to get there
his ministry still has a long list of problems to solve. its
an ambitious task, but hes certain of one thing: by
the time we finish it, someone will find other problems.
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giving investors a clear
picture
ministers love to paint rosy pictures of investment in egypt. minister
of investment mahmoud mohieldin doesnt. sure, hes happy
to discuss the challenges to investment and whats being done
to address them, but hes more interested in giving investors
the clarity and transparency they crave.
by rehab el-bakry
to quote investors, their concern is clarity. they want to
come to a place knowing that theyre going to go through a
set of particular procedures [that will] take a specific amount
of time, he says firmly. you really shouldnt have
any surprises, [not even] good surprises.
with this spirit in mind, mohieldin is the first to point out
that when it comes to investment egypt has had problems
over the past few years. but the government is aware of them and
is working on solutions to create an environment to increase investment.
although mohieldin, 40, has only been a minister for a little over
six months, he says he has a firm plan to boost investment in egypt,
both foreign and domestic, as well as revive the privatization program.
as a minister, your job is to strike a delicate balance
between the private sector, what remains in the public hands, the
interest of the public at large and the interest of the government
and policy makers, he says. you have to address the
concerns of all these agencies [while] ensuring, that as you cater
to the needs of a particular group, you dont endanger the
interests or the welfare of others. he says his extensive
experience in consulting to both the private sector and members
of government, as well as his involvement with policy formulation
through the national democratic party (ndp), helps him strike this
balance. while he does recognize how important the private sector
is to the egyptian economy, he says he has a responsibility to protect
the interest of the general public.
having said this, mohieldin is the first to point out that right
now, the egyptian government has prioritized economic reform as
the key to competing in the world economy and creating jobs. he
says this means the egyptian government must work on promoting egypt
as an investment destination and dealing with the issues that have
previously kept investors away.
pros and cons
any investment should be [built] on the golden rule of economics,
with the right mix between risk and return, he says, adding
that egypt is neither risk-free nor return-free. egypt offers
its regional position, good links and accessibility to markets.
but we also offer a deep [domestic] market despite the fact that
our per capita income is not [as high when] compared to that of
some of the rich gulf countries. he says the consumption patterns
of egyptians, the population and the continuing growth of the market
justify the interest many international companies have in the egyptian
market.
although hes first to point out that egypt has not lived up
to its potential when it comes to foreign direct investment (fdi),
mohieldin says the continued presence of many multinational companies,
in spite of the difficult environment of the past few years, indicates
that this is a very lucrative market when working with a long-term
calculation for the returns versus the risks. what many companies
were waiting for is a statement from the government, followed by
particular actions and specific measures to assure them that the
country is open for business and we mean it. he says this
kind of a message was clearly reflected in speeches by prime minister
ahmed nazif, and in recent decisions made by the government indicating
a complete awareness of the grievances of the business community.
in an attempt to illustrate this awareness, mohieldin is more
than happy to list the challenges faced by domestic and foreign
investors. but, hes just as anxious to point out what the
current government is doing to address them.
he says the biggest complaint by businessmen has been tariffs
and customs on products. we have dealt with the issue of tariffs,
reducing the average rate from more than 14 percent to less than
9 percent, he says. we are aware that the customs reforms
still need further work and the minister of finance is still working
on improving the administration work, expediting the process of
evaluation and clearance of products and raw material from customs.
the second issue of concern was taxes and by that i dont
just mean tax rates, which were dealing with through the introduction
of major reduction through the proposed tax law, but also the tax
administration. he says the proposed law also simplifies the
process of reporting taxable income and handling of paperwork. but
more importantly, it minimizes the discretionary power of the taxman
and minimizes the dealings of investors with the tax department.
the current system give the employees of the tax department the
discretion to assess taxable revenues of companies without any clear
guidelines of how these assessments are reached. mohieldin says
the new law will virtually eliminate this process with the revenue
figures filed by companies accepted in good faith as being accurate.
the third issue mohieldin identified pertains specifically to
his portfolio. dealing with the investment authority has long been
a nightmare for investors due to the delays in registering companies
and getting approvals. he says that the waiting period involved
in registering companies has been virtually eliminated with clear
steps being put in place to remove any confusion over the processes
and approvals required. he says that the process will be cut from
several months to around one month.
the investment authority [general authority for investment
& free zones] would disagree, claiming they can do it within
two weeks, but i think that were being led into a race with
other countries to see who can register faster and thats not
the point. the point is that we want to give investors clarity through
a set of procedures that will take a certain number of days. its
not about how long they will take but they just want no surprises
of any kind. its all about the clear procedures and when you
will be able to get the license.
mohieldin says the registration of a company is simply the entry
of the company into the egyptian market. while this should be simple,
so should the ability of the company to exit from the market. as
a company, you should have a safe and smart exit from the market
[because] its your right. to me, its more important
to develop this aspect of the registration process rather than getting
into a competition of who does it faster.
but not all concerns have yet been addressed. mohieldin says there
are still issues pertaining to local authorities and their level
of cooperation with the investors. i believe we need to do
further work in this area because some of the local governments
didnt catch the reform movement yet, the minister told
business monthly. there are also a few issues relating to
the accessibility and registration of land, an issue being tackled
by a team lead by the pm himself. while mohieldin is aware
that bureaucracy is one of the biggest challenges for investors,
he points out that addressing that issue is inherent in all the
measures currently being taken by the government.
so were not in denial or ignorance of the problems
but at the same time, were seeing very positive actions to
deal with the problems, points out mohieldin. even acknowledging
there are problems and, more importantly, having an action plan
to deal with them, is an achievement in itself.
the privatization bug
ever since mohieldin was appointed, hes bluntly stated that
he plans on breathing new life into the privatization of public
sector assets. his approach is simple everything that has
a buyer is fair game.
the privatization program was first initiated in 1991 as part
of egypts economic restructuring program, but slowly fell
into a coma as the government sold off its most prized assets and
was left with undesired and loss-making companies. for mohieldin,
however, privatization is not simply an ideology, but rather a necessary,
if bitter, medicine for the egyptian economy to grow. im
going to pursue privatization very aggressively. youre not
just going to see a few flagships. any company that has a buyer
around the corner, i am going to prepare the company, approach him
and sell it.
if the ministers approach sounds a bit aggressive, its
because thats the way he wants it to be.
mohieldin says that buyers are not going to knock on his door,
so he has to be willing to knock on theirs. at the same time, he
says that if a company doesnt have a buyer he will work with
the company and the holding company that manages it to shape it
up and adopt better corporate governance.
his approach has paid off. companies privatized over the past
six months yielded more than £e 800 million in revenue and
he says hes just getting warmed up. the number of companies
we are preparing for privatization and their relative size in the
market is very significant. but i dont like to use the word
privatization because in arabic it has a negative connotation. i
prefer to look at it as asset management involving the
selling, restructuring for sale and the introduction of corporate
governance to egypts assets.
while he knows the decision to sell public companies may not be
very popular with the general public, he says egypt can no longer
afford to hold on to companies that are losing thousands of dollars
a day. there are companies losing some $40,000 a day. we cant
afford that, he told business monthly, adding that no sector
will be considered off limits for privatization.
legal frameworks
mohieddin is especially confident that his plans for encouraging
investment in egypt will succeed because there is a legal framework
already in place to facilitate their implementation. he says the
current investment law has the right spirit in spite of the fact
that some amendments will be introduced in order for it to complement
the changes in the proposed tax law.
were introducing some amendments to the investment
law in order to make it compatible with the new tax law, he
says. this will [also create] a convergence between corporate law
no. 159 of 1981 and holding company law no. 8 of 1997, because it
makes no sense that companies that report to the same investment
authority be treated differently.
at the same time, the passing of the antitrust and regulation
of competition law last january had the minister breathing a sigh
of relief. i think its a good start because it establishes
a competition commission and educates [the public] about the meaning
of antitrust, anti-competition, as well as [illegal] horizontal
and vertical agreements. he recognizes that the legislation
differs from us antitrust laws, which include information disclosure
requirements. however, he notes, the current cabinet will work on
addressing this through a decree that establishes a national council
for information disclosure and transparency.
while egypt has a history of false starts when it comes to policies
that encourage investment, mohieldin says he has every confidence
that this time things will be different because, thus far, the cabinet
has taken decisions that indicate its firm commitment to reform.
he argues that once you go down this road, its next to impossible
to turn back. right now, we have reformers in the cabinet
who are reforming. so we have the right message and the right messenger.
previously, we had one or the other. thats why this time is
going to be very different.
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