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follow up
two
brewers beat as one
[the big gulp, march 2001]
with the $66 million acquisition of el gouna beverages now complete,
al ahram beverages co. (abc) has a full monopoly on the egyptian
alcoholic drinks market. abc, though it no longer has a rival to
spur it on, still needs double-digit growth to satisfy shareholders.
along with el gounas beer and wine division, abc picked up
the sole license to manufacture spirits in egypt. the company now
has high hopes for starting a retail liquor market, assuming it
can negotiate agreements with international distillers to produce
name brands locally. abc is talking with two big international distillers
about licenses.
in the meantime, theres the matter of management reorganization.
fatenn mostafa, chief executive officer of gianaclis, the wine division
of abc, said management has not yet decided how to organize the
two companies to best maintain growth. the options are to keep them
separate, integrate them fully, or merge bottling operations while
keeping separate marketing forces.
this is the challenge, mostafa said. if you have
a monopolistic mentality, nobodys going to come up with creative
ideas. we want to create a competitive mindset in the company.
egyptian beer and wine drinkers clearly benefited from the two-year
rivalry between abc and el gouna. just four years ago, egypt had
no private breweries or wineries, and the choice was either to buy
imports, with a mark-up of as much as 300 percent on foreign wines,
or buy the governments beverages. after two years of competition
between el gouna and abc, the formerly stagnant beer market is growing
at about 15 percent a year. the wine market is growing even more
rapidly, but it started from a much smaller base.
both companies engaged in heavy marketing. abcs luxor group
ltd. bought up the license for stella beer operations in 1997 and
soon after bought the states alexandria winery and a lease
on the state-run vineyards. beer sales shot up, thanks to aggressive
promotions, new brands and drastic quality improvements on the old
brands. but when el gouna beverages entered the market in mid-1999,
the newcomer immediately began outspending abc in a burst of effort
to gain market share.
according to marketing officials from both companies, while abc
was spending 5 percent of its net sales on marketing and advertising
(about $1.6 million for beer ads and $900,000 for wine ads last
year), el gouna was spending a higher percentage and picking up
customers faster.
abc always viewed us as a threat from day one, and they have
always viewed us as a potential takeover, said youssef hammad,
marketing director for el gouna beverages. we grew in 2000
versus 1999 by 250 percent in our volume of beer. as for the
competition, stella only grew 0.9 percent in 2000, hammad
added. all the growth in the market was coming from us.
among its marketing tactics, el gouna introduced gold-colored cans
for its sakara gold brand and introduced sakara seven stars, with
a higher alcohol content, and sakara premium, marketed as a classic
german-style lager beer. abc representatives have contended that
el gounas brands were priced at money-losing levels, too.
theyll say we were undercutting them on price, but we
never did, hammad said. we just had much stronger marketing.
mostafa, at abc, admitted that the takeoff of sakara surprised
her company. the potential of the sakara brand is a good reason
to keep the el gouna marketing team intact if possible, she said.
el gounas advertising has been handled from the start by
ama leo burnett in cairo. mostafa said she expects abc to keep leo
burnett in place along with abcs two advertising agencies
grey and tmi / j walter thompson. id be definitely
opposed to consolidating advertising. i dont see major savings,
and we want them competing, she said. we can get economies
of scale from production and from purchasing.
tmi / j walter thompson handles abcs stella and meister beer
brands, plus carlsberg (which abc produces locally under license)
and the fast-growing non-alcoholic birell. the agency also handles
lipton iced tea in egypt for united beverage co., a venture between
abc and unilever egypt. abcs wines, meanwhile, are represented
by grey, which opened an office in cairo in february, having previously
handled the account from beirut.
although the government has placed restrictions on advertising
alcoholic beverages, the atmosphere appears to be loosening up.
dahlia el kordy, marketing director for abcs beer division,
said she expected ad expenditures to increase in the coming year
because the government is becoming more amenable to beer ads in
government newspapers.
getting ads into the big state-owned dailies al ahram and al akbar
has always been delicate. el gouna tripped up in the launch of sakara
when it bought inserts in al ahram for a friday. as readers opened
their papers on the muslim communal-prayer day, the inserts slipped
out, stirring up religious sensitivities about alcohol. subscribers
complained, and alcohol ads were kept out of state papers for several
months. but in recent months, el kordy said, al ahram has indicated
it is interested in accepting alcohol ads again, and both beverage
companies have been advertising regularly in other state papers,
though abc doesnt advertise on fridays.
abcs biggest avenue for growth could be exports. the company
is looking at exporting beer, and in particular non-alcoholic beer,
to other countries in the middle east as well as to major muslim
markets in asia, such as indonesia, malaysia and pakistan.
and what of those low local prices for sakara beer? the wholesale
price of sakara gold cans went up by almost 15 percent at the beginning
of april, a beer and wine retailer in cairo said.
susan postlewaite
egyptian wine market in 2000
abcs share: 220,000 cases gross revenues $13.7 million
el gounas share: 90,000 cases gross revenues $6.2 million
imports 50,000 cases gross revenues value unknown
egyptian beer market in 2000
abcs share: 40 million liters gross revenues $82 million
el gounas share: 7 million liters gross revenues $13 million
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mems
deal secured by egyptian incentives
[ministry says marhaba to mems, march 2001]
minister of telecommunications and information technology ahmed
nazif met on april 11 with memscap president jean-michel karam as
part of ongoing negotiations following the signing of a memorandum
of understanding to build egypts first microchip factory in
sixth of october city. nazif and karam unveiled further details
about the $100 million project, which is expected to create over
2,000 engineering and technical jobs by 2006.
nazif told reporters at a press conference that the government
had sold over 40,000 square meters of land in sixth of october city
at the low price of $1 per square meter, stressing that this was
an exceptional offer. memscap plans to begin construction of the
factory in june. operations are to start in mid-2002 and mass-production
in january 2003.
we looked at india, the far east, taiwan, but eventually
settled on egypt, karam said. in china a factory may
be more cost effective, but it would be too far away.
memscap already has other ventures in california and minnesota,
as well as in japan, germany and france. the american-french company
hopes to save over 33 percent of its costs in manufacturing and
25 percent in design and development by operating in egypt.
the egyptian operation will be mostly geared towards packaging
chips prepared in grenoble, france.
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bond legislation
approved
[global market ripe for egyptian sovereign
issue, february 2001]
after a protracted wave of silence, egypts consultative upper
house, the shura council, on april 14 gave its preliminary approval
to the draft law expected to pave the way for the issue of egypts
first sovereign eurobond. the law, if approved by the peoples
assembly, will give the minister of finance, medhat hassanein, authorization
to issue sovereign bonds worth up to $2 billion with maturities
of between five and 30 years.
the law would not mean that egypt would necessarily be tapping
the market for such a hefty sum. the debut bond is still expected
to be worth $500 million. given manageable external debt-service
obligations and healthy foreign reserves, egypt does not even need
this level of financing, but, as dalia sultan, head of fixed-income
sales at efg-hermes, put it, anything less will be too illiquid.
the $2 billion mark would permit a series of eurobond issues, with
the possibility of a second issue within six months of the first.
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no te offering this year
[the lines they are a changin,
july 2000]
last month brought yet another blow to the prospects for a telecom
egypt sale. late last year, bookrunners were blaming the adverse
global investment climate for the october postponement of telecom
egypts initial public offering (ipo) and were instead preparing
for the sale of a 20-percent stake to a strategic investor, who
would prime the company for an ipo to the local and international
markets during the latter part of 2001.
the strategy remains unchanged, apart from the added sweetener
of the companys mobile operations. but the timescale is looking
more dubious than ever, with the second half of 2002 now being tipped
as an increasingly likely period for the sale of the state-owned
fixed-line monopoly.
while world conditions remain unfavorable, particularly where international
listing is concerned, a number of other factors suggest that telecom
egypts problems are far from exogenous. the ministry of communications
& information technology is pushing for regulatory reforms,
but the draft law intended to regulate the telecom sector in egypt
is still stuck at the ministerial review stage, as other governmental
portfolios are also affected.
delays in setting up a suitable regulatory framework are inextricably
linked with valuation glitches. with questions lingering about how
the company is to be regulated, potential investors will find it
arduous, if not impossible, to assess the value of telecom egypt
as an investment opportunity. as an analyst based in london asked,
how are investors supposed to assess the worth of a potential
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